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Watching the tropics: 1 area in the Atlantic; 1 area in the Caribbean

After a lull in tropical development since Hurricane Delta, we’re starting to see a hint of the late October secondary peak of activity.

Right now, the region we are watching, especially closely is the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The National Hurricane Center is expecting an area of low pressure to form in this area next week and gives it a 30% chance of 5-day formation.

This is the region we’ve been talking about for a few days. Gradual development will be possible through mid next week.

Where it goes from there and how strong it could be, that’s still the biggest question mark. Most long-term forecast models are hinting at something trying to form over the next 7-10 days. Some of the energy left over from Invest 93-L will try to enhance this disturbance, but it’s only one of many factors.

Otherwise, another broad, non-tropical low is currently located about 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Slow tropical or subtropical development is possible through the middle of next week as the disturbance meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean.

Model plots keep this tropical wave over the Atlantic, as it is forecast to move south, then turns more to a west/northwest movement. We’ll keep you updated on any developments with this system!

Right now, the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 70% chance of formation.


LOCAL FORECAST

Saturday will be much drier than Friday, with breezy conditions developing ahead of a stalled out frontal boundary. Look for highs in the upper 80s with a northeasterly breeze near 15 mph.

Sunday will be the wetter of the two days for the weekend, with scattered afternoon rain returning to the area. Breezy conditions will continue through the weekend, and even into the start of next week.

 

 

Reporter:Brittany Van Voorhees
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