Tropical development likely, Florida’s east coast under storm watch

Published: Updated:
Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 forecast cone model as of 5 p.m. Wednesday, Sept. 12, 2019. Credit: WINK News.

The WINK News Weather Authority team is closely monitoring two areas in the Atlantic for potential development over the next several days.

As of 11 p.m. Thursday, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is expected to form near the northwestern Bahamas. It’s currently about 320 miles southeast of Great Aboco Island in the Bahamas, with max winds at 30 mph. The is disturbance meandering over the southeastern Bahamas at 2 mph.

National hurricane Center expects the disturbance to move slowly toward the northwest early Friday, and it is forecast to continue this over the next two days. NHC anticipates the disturbance to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas Friday and along or over the east coast of Florida Saturday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

Increased development is likely for a tropical depression, and odds continue to increase for the development of this system to become Tropical Storm Humberto by Saturday. That forecast remains consistent.

With the new cone, the Bahamian government has issued a Tropical Storm warning for the northwestern Bahamas, the Abacos, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island and New Providence. There is an expectation the disturbance will form into a tropical storm and bring tropical storm force winds to parts of the NW Bahamas in the next 36 hours.

Forecast cone as of 11 p.m. Thursday. Credit: NHC.

Watches and Warnings

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the coast of east-central Florida from Jupiter Inlet northward to the Volusia-Brevard County line. This means tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

More On Tropics: Another tropical wave located between the Leeward Islands and Africa is pushing west in the open Atlantic. We have a long time to watch this one, which currently has a 40% chance of development. This system will be moving through the Lesser Antilles and then eventually the Eastern Caribbean by early next week. After that, it’s too early to tell where it goes.

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