Ernesto is moving into the extreme southern Bay of Campeche and continues to produce very heavy rains over portions of Mexico and Central America.
At 5:00 p.m. the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near Latitude 18.9 North, Longitude 91.5 West. Ernesto is moving toward the west near 13 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours with some decrease in forward speed.
On the forecast track, the center will move over the extreme southern Bay of Campeche tonight and early Thursday, and be near or over the Gulf Coast of Mexico in the hurricane watch area later on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph, with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast tonight and early Thursday. Weakening is expected after the center moves over land later on Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles from the center. Ciudad Del Carmen recently reported sustained winds of 46 mph with a gust to 58 mph.